Paris FC vs Lens: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Lens. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paris FC wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paris FC vs Lens?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Paris FC (2,130) and Lens (2,174).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paris FC vs Lens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paris FC
4-2-3-1- 9L. Sinayoko
- 33P. Lees-Melou
- 10I. Kebbal
- 7P. Pagis
- 20M. Lopez
- 27M. Simon
- 42D. Coppola
- 14H. Traoré
- 6Otávio
- 31S. Chergui
- 1K. Trapp
Lens
3-4-2-1- 9T. Hazard
- 10F. Thauvin
- 14M. Udol
- 21A. Haidara
- 7F. Sotoca
- 23Saud Abdulhamid
- 27M. Cuisance
- 6S. Baidoo
- 20J. Todibo
- 2R. Aguilar
- 40R. Risser
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paris FC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Lens have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lorient(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marseille(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Como(home) | 1-9 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Lille(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Paris FC win, 1 draw, 4 Lens wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lens 2-1 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Paris FC 0-5 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Lens 2-1 Paris FC | Ligue 1 |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Lens 0-0 Paris FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2020 | Lens 1-2 Paris FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 2, 2020 | Paris FC 0-2 Lens | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Paris FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lens score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Lens | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paris FC sit 3rd in Ligue 1 (20 points from 10 matches) and Lens sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 20 |
| 11 | Lens | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 13 |
A question about Paris FC vs Lens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paris FC vs Lens?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paris FC the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Lens.
- Where and when is Paris FC vs Lens played?
- Paris FC vs Lens is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Bouin, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.