Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
The Footlab AI model makes Lyon the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lyon wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29?
Lyon starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (2,184 vs 2,001).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lyon
4-2-3-1- 17L. Openda
- 23T. Morton
- 8C. Tolisso
- 7E. Nuamah
- 2M. Bidstrup
- 10P. Šulc
- 20F. Bacher
- 13Z. Athekame
- 16Abner
- 21R. Kluivert
- 1D. Greif
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 9P. Mboup
- 17Mama Baldé
- 2B. Locko
- 4G. Lloris
- 70K. Lala
- 29L. Tousart
- 1E. Selvik
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyon have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Paris FC(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lille(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Angers(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lyon wins, 1 draw, 2 Stade Brestois 29 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Lyon 2-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 0-0 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Lyon 2-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Stade Brestois 29 2-1 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Lyon 4-3 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Stade Brestois 29 1-0 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29 on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lyon score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyon sit 5th in Ligue 1 (11 points from 6 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 9th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lyon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lyon the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Lyon vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on April 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Groupama Stadium, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.