Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 36Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Minnesota United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC?
Los Angeles FC starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,790).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Minnesota United FC have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 5-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Los Angeles FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Minnesota United FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Minnesota United FC 0-1 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Minnesota United FC 0-1 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 1-0 Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| May 30, 2024 | Los Angeles FC 2-0 Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Minnesota United FC 2-0 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Los Angeles FC 5-1 Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles FC score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Minnesota United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Minnesota United FC | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles FC sit 3rd in Major League Soccer (35 points from 22 matches) and Minnesota United FC sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 22 | 35 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Minnesota United FC.
- Where and when is Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC played?
- Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at BMO Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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