Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)BMO Stadium, Los Angeles, California
The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Portland Timbers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?
Los Angeles FC starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,936 vs 1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Angeles FC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Portland Timbers have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Club Queretaro(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 5-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Los Angeles FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Portland Timbers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Portland Timbers 2-1 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Los Angeles FC 2-2 Portland Timbers | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 0-1 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Portland Timbers 3-3 Los Angeles FC | Major League Soccer |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Los Angeles FC 1-0 Portland Timbers | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Los Angeles FC 3-2 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Angeles FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles FC | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Portland Timbers | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Angeles FC sit 3rd in Major League Soccer (34 points from 21 matches) and Portland Timbers sit 9th (27 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 21 | 34 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 36 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers?
- The Footlab model makes Los Angeles FC the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Portland Timbers.
- Where and when is Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers played?
- Los Angeles FC vs Portland Timbers is played on August 23, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at BMO Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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