Match

Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee

Nashville SCColumbus Crew

The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Nashville SC (1,940) and Columbus Crew (1,849).

Nashville SC win50 %
Draw26 %
Columbus Crew win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nashville SC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Columbus Crew have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Nashville SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026New York Red Bulls(away)1-0Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Inter Miami(home)4-1Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026Monterrey(away)1-2Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026Atletico San Luis(home)4-1Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026Leon(home)0-1Leagues Cup
Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026CF Montreal(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Charlotte(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026CF Pachuca(home)2-1Leagues Cup
Aug 4, 2026Atlas(home)3-1Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nashville SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Columbus Crew win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 14, 2026Columbus Crew 0-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
Feb 11, 2026Nashville SC 1-0 Columbus CrewFriendlies Clubs
Jul 17, 2025Nashville SC 3-0 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
May 29, 2025Columbus Crew 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
Jul 3, 2024Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
Mar 31, 2024Nashville SC 2-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC on Mar 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Nashville SC score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Nashville SC1.60.957/158/15
Columbus Crew1.51.6212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Nashville SC sit 1st in Major League Soccer (46 points from 20 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 12th (20 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Nashville SC201442401546
12Columbus Crew205510283320

Who is out?

4 reported absence(s) for this match.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?
The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Columbus Crew.
Where and when is Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew played?
Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew is played on August 23, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at GEODIS Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Nashville SC and Columbus Crew

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