Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)GEODIS Park, Nashville, Tennessee
The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Columbus Crew. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Nashville SC (1,940) and Columbus Crew (1,849).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nashville SC have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Columbus Crew have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | New York Red Bulls(away) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inter Miami(home) | 4-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Leon(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | CF Montreal(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nashville SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Columbus Crew win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Columbus Crew 0-1 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Nashville SC 1-0 Columbus Crew | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Nashville SC 3-0 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
| May 29, 2025 | Columbus Crew 2-2 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville SC | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Nashville SC 2-2 Columbus Crew | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs Nashville SC on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nashville SC score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nashville SC | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Columbus Crew | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nashville SC sit 1st in Major League Soccer (46 points from 20 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 12th (20 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 40 | 15 | 46 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 20 |
Who is out?
4 reported absence(s) for this match.
- J. ThiaréColumbus CrewOut(Leg Injury)
- S. BangouraColumbus CrewOut(Ankle Injury)
- W. Abou AliColumbus CrewOut(Knee Injury)
- W. MadrigalNashville SCDoubtful(Lower-Body Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew?
- The Footlab model makes Nashville SC the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Columbus Crew.
- Where and when is Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew played?
- Nashville SC vs Columbus Crew is played on August 23, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at GEODIS Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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