Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders played?

FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders is played on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

FC Cincinnati

Seattle Sounders

The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Seattle Sounders. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate FC Cincinnati (1,891) and Seattle Sounders (1,832).

FC Cincinnati win56 %

Draw22 %

Seattle Sounders win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cincinnati have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Seattle Sounders have 3, 2 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cincinnati
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	New York City FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 4, 2026	CF Pachuca(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

Seattle Sounders
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Austin(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Club Queretaro(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 6, 2026	Toluca(away)	0-3	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FC Cincinnati win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Seattle Sounders win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 12, 2023	FC Cincinnati 1-0 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
Sep 28, 2022	Seattle Sounders 1-1 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2019	Seattle Sounders 4-1 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders on Mar 12, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cincinnati score 2.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Seattle Sounders score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Cincinnati	2.7	1.8	2	13/15	12/15
Seattle Sounders	1.0	1.9	1	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cincinnati sit 5th in Major League Soccer (30 points from 20 matches) and Seattle Sounders sit 12th (24 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	FC Cincinnati	20	8	6	6	48	46	30
12	Seattle Sounders	19	7	3	9	21	26	24

Who is out?

8 reported absence(s) for this match.

C. RoldanSeattle SoundersDoubtful(Calf Injury)
H. DotsonSeattle SoundersDoubtful(Muscle Injury)
J. FerreiraSeattle SoundersDoubtful(Injury)
J. MorrisSeattle SoundersOut(Muscle Injury)
N. PetkovićSeattle SoundersOut(Knee Injury)
P. ArriolaSeattle SoundersOut(Calf Injury)
P. de la VegaSeattle SoundersOut(Calf Injury)
Y. GómezSeattle SoundersOut(Muscle Injury)

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders?: The Footlab model makes FC Cincinnati the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Seattle Sounders.
Where and when is FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders played?: FC Cincinnati vs Seattle Sounders is played on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at TQL Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.