Charlotte vs DC United: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for DC United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlotte vs DC United?
Charlotte starts as the favourite with a 151-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; DC United have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Toronto FC(away) | 3-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Columbus Crew(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | New England Revolution(home) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CF Montreal(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 2-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Toronto FC(home) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Charlotte win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 DC United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | DC United 0-1 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Charlotte 2-1 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| May 21, 2025 | DC United 2-2 Charlotte | US Open Cup |
| Oct 20, 2024 | DC United 0-3 Charlotte | Major League Soccer |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Charlotte 1-0 DC United | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Charlotte 0-0 DC United | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: DC United vs Charlotte on Oct 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Charlotte score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| DC United | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlotte sit 6th in Major League Soccer (29 points from 20 matches) and DC United sit 9th (24 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Charlotte | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 31 | 29 |
| 9 | DC United | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 24 |
Who is out?
6 reported absence(s) for this match.
- G. SegalDC UnitedOut(Leg Injury)
- K. RowlesDC UnitedOut(Thigh Injury)
- PeglowDC UnitedOut(Thigh Injury)
- A. JohnCharlotteOut(Upper-Body Injury)
- H. ToffoloCharlotteOut(Hamstring Injury)
- N. BerchimasCharlotteOut(Foot Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlotte vs DC United?
- The Footlab model makes Charlotte the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for DC United.
- Where and when is Charlotte vs DC United played?
- Charlotte vs DC United is played on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Bank of America Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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