Match

Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida

Orlando City SCReal Salt Lake

The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Real Salt Lake. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Orlando City SC (1,814) and Real Salt Lake (1,840).

Orlando City SC win40 %
Draw24 %
Real Salt Lake win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando City SC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Real Salt Lake have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Orlando City SC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Chicago Fire(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026FC Cincinnati(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Atletico San Luis(home)2-2Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026Leon(home)1-2Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026Monterrey(away)2-1Leagues Cup
Real Salt Lake
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026FC Dallas(home)3-4Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Minnesota United FC(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026FC Juarez(home)3-0Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026Atlante FC(home)4-0Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026Tigres UANL(away)1-1Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Orlando City SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Real Salt Lake win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 9, 2023Real Salt Lake 4-0 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
Mar 1, 2020Orlando City SC 0-0 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Apr 14, 2019Real Salt Lake 2-1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
May 6, 2018Orlando City SC 3-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Jul 1, 2017Real Salt Lake 0-1 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
Mar 6, 2016Orlando City SC 2-2 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs Orlando City SC on Jul 9, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Orlando City SC score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Orlando City SC2.22.0212/1511/15
Real Salt Lake1.91.3411/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Orlando City SC sit 10th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 20 matches) and Real Salt Lake sit 8th (28 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Real Salt Lake19847333028
10Orlando City SC206311325021

Who is out?

10 reported absence(s) for this match.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Real Salt Lake.
Where and when is Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake played?
Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake is played on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Inter&Co Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Orlando City SC and Real Salt Lake

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