Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Inter&Co Stadium, Orlando, Florida
The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Real Salt Lake. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Orlando City SC (1,814) and Real Salt Lake (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orlando City SC have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Real Salt Lake have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leon(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 3-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 4-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Orlando City SC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Real Salt Lake win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2023 | Real Salt Lake 4-0 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 1, 2020 | Orlando City SC 0-0 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Real Salt Lake 2-1 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
| May 6, 2018 | Orlando City SC 3-1 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 1, 2017 | Real Salt Lake 0-1 Orlando City SC | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 6, 2016 | Orlando City SC 2-2 Real Salt Lake | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs Orlando City SC on Jul 9, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Orlando City SC score 2.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando City SC | 2.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Real Salt Lake | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orlando City SC sit 10th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 20 matches) and Real Salt Lake sit 8th (28 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Real Salt Lake | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 28 |
| 10 | Orlando City SC | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 32 | 50 | 21 |
Who is out?
10 reported absence(s) for this match.
- Bernardo Rhein GoncalvesOrlando City SCDoubtful(Muscle Injury)
- B. OjedaOrlando City SCOut(Foot Injury)
- M. OjedaOrlando City SCDoubtful(Thigh Injury)
- N. MillerOrlando City SCOut(Knee Injury)
- A. PiolReal Salt LakeOut(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Chadwick Zachary BoothReal Salt LakeDoubtful(Hamstring Injury)
- E. EneliReal Salt LakeOut(Knee Injury)
- G. DillonReal Salt LakeOut(Foot Injury)
- J. GladReal Salt LakeDoubtful(Groin Injury)
- M. GuilavoguiReal Salt LakeDoubtful(Head Injury)
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando City SC the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Real Salt Lake.
- Where and when is Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake played?
- Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake is played on August 22, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Inter&Co Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 22, 2026FC CincinnativsSeattle Sounders
- Aug 22, 2026Inter MiamivsToronto FC
- Aug 22, 2026CharlottevsDC United
- Aug 22, 2026CF MontrealvsLos Angeles Galaxy
- Aug 22, 2026New York Red BullsvsChicago Fire
- Aug 23, 2026Nashville SCvsColumbus Crew
- Aug 23, 2026AustinvsPhiladelphia Union
- Aug 23, 2026St. Louis CityvsHouston Dynamo