Match

Algar vs Atlético Pulpileño: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sánchez Luengo, El Algar

AlgarAtlético Pulpileño

The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Algar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Algar vs Atlético Pulpileño?

Atlético Pulpileño starts as the favourite with a 187-point Elo edge (1,780 vs 1,594).

Algar win34 %
Draw31 %
Atlético Pulpileño win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Algar have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Atlético Pulpileño have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Algar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2024Plus Ultra(home)4-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 5, 2024Bullense(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 1, 2024Alcantarilla(home)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 27, 2024Cieza(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 21, 2024El Palmar(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Atlético Pulpileño
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mazarrón FC(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
May 3, 2026El Palmar(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 26, 2026Balsicas Atlético(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 19, 2026Unión Molinense(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
Apr 12, 2026Santa Cruz(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 13

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Algar win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Atlético Pulpileño win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 7, 2024Algar 0-3 Atlético PulpileñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13
Nov 19, 2023Atlético Pulpileño 0-0 AlgarTercera División RFEF - Group 13

Last archived meeting: Algar vs Atlético Pulpileño on Apr 7, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Algar score 1.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Algar1.12.328/1510/15
Atlético Pulpileño0.90.885/152/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Atlético Pulpileño34131110302950

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Algar vs Atlético Pulpileño?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Pulpileño the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Algar.
Where and when is Algar vs Atlético Pulpileño played?
Algar vs Atlético Pulpileño is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sánchez Luengo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Algar and Atlético Pulpileño

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