Match

Scandicci vs Ternana: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Turri, Firenze

ScandicciTernana

The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Scandicci. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Scandicci vs Ternana?

Ternana starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,861 vs 1,696).

Scandicci win30 %
Draw29 %
Ternana win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scandicci have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Ternana have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Scandicci
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Robur Siena(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Poggibonsi(away)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Gavorrano(home)1-3Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Cannara(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Orvietana Calcio(away)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Ternana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Pianese(away)1-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 26, 2026Pianese(home)1-3Serie C - Girone B
Apr 18, 2026Bra(away)2-1Serie C - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Perugia(home)2-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Juventus U23(away)1-2Serie C - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Scandicci score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Scandicci1.11.149/153/15
Ternana1.51.4211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Scandicci3411158393248

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Scandicci vs Ternana?
The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Scandicci.
Where and when is Scandicci vs Ternana played?
Scandicci vs Ternana is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Scandicci and Ternana

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