Where and when is Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola played?

Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano

Gavorrano

Sasso Marconi Zola

The Footlab model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Sasso Marconi Zola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Gavorrano (1,647) and Sasso Marconi Zola (1,645).

Gavorrano win42 %

Draw29 %

Sasso Marconi Zola win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sasso Marconi Zola have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gavorrano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Camaiore(home)	3-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Tau Altopascio(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Scandicci(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Orvietana Calcio(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

Sasso Marconi Zola
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Imolese(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone D
May 3, 2026	Progresso(away)	1-4	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026	Imolese(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026	Rovato Vertovese(home)	2-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026	Desenzano Calvina(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sasso Marconi Zola score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gavorrano	1.1	1.4	2	9/15	5/15
Sasso Marconi Zola	0.9	1.4	3	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36	49	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola?: The Footlab model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Sasso Marconi Zola.
Where and when is Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola played?: Gavorrano vs Sasso Marconi Zola is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.