Montevarchi Calcio vs Progresso: result 2-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
Full time
What was the result of Montevarchi Calcio vs Progresso?
Montevarchi Calcio won 2-0 on September 27, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 28′552241Montevarchi Calcio
- 51′629384Montevarchi Calcio
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Montevarchi Calcio win at 48%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Progresso have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Figline(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone D |
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Progresso | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montevarchi Calcio sit 14th in Serie D - Girone E (7 points from 7 matches) and Progresso sit 17th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Montevarchi Calcio | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 17 | Progresso | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Montevarchi Calcio vs Progresso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 27, 2026Lucchese3-2Robur Siena
- Sep 27, 2026Prato2-1Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Sep 27, 2026Gavorrano2-1Sasso Marconi Zola
- Sep 27, 2026Seravezza3-0Terranuova Traiana
- Sep 27, 2026Mezzolara0-0Grassina
- Sep 27, 2026Flaminia2-1San Donato Tavarnelle
- Sep 27, 2026Scandicci0-0Ternana
- Sep 27, 2026Tau Altopascio3-2Rondinella