Match

Lucchese vs Scandicci: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca

LuccheseScandicci

The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Scandicci. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lucchese vs Scandicci?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Lucchese (1,735) and Scandicci (1,696).

Lucchese win45 %
Draw29 %
Scandicci win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Scandicci have 5, 7 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2025Sestri Levante(home)1-0Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
May 10, 2025Sestri Levante(away)1-2Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025Torres(home)3-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 23, 2025Arezzo(away)1-4Serie C - Girone B
Apr 13, 2025Vis Pesaro(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B
Scandicci
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Robur Siena(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Poggibonsi(away)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Gavorrano(home)1-3Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Cannara(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Orvietana Calcio(away)1-0Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Scandicci score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lucchese1.71.6411/159/15
Scandicci1.11.149/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Scandicci3411158393248

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lucchese vs Scandicci?
The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Scandicci.
Where and when is Lucchese vs Scandicci played?
Lucchese vs Scandicci is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Lucchese and Scandicci

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