Montevarchi Calcio vs Mezzolara: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,990 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Mezzolara?
Montevarchi Calcio starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,757 vs 1,642).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montevarchi Calcio vs Mezzolara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Mezzolara
Not enough data to predict the Mezzolara lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 10:25 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mezzolara have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Grassina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mezzolara score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Mezzolara | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montevarchi Calcio sit 10th in Serie D - Girone E (10 points from 8 matches) and Mezzolara sit 14th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
| 14 | Mezzolara | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
A question about Montevarchi Calcio vs Mezzolara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Mezzolara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Montevarchi Calcio the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Mezzolara.
- Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Mezzolara played?
- Montevarchi Calcio vs Mezzolara is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026TernanavsTerranuova Traiana
- Dec 20, 2026LucchesevsScandicci
- Dec 20, 2026Robur SienavsGavorrano
- Dec 20, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsSasso Marconi Zola
- Dec 20, 2026SeravezzavsTau Altopascio
- Dec 20, 2026GrassinavsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Dec 20, 2026ProgressovsPrato
- Dec 20, 2026RondinellavsFlaminia