Robur Siena vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena
The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Gavorrano?
Robur Siena starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Gavorrano have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Scandicci(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 4-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Camaiore(away) | 5-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Camaiore(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Orvietana Calcio(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Robur Siena win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Gavorrano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Robur Siena 1-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Gavorrano 0-1 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 28, 2018 | Robur Siena 1-1 Gavorrano | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Gavorrano 0-2 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Robur Siena vs Gavorrano on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Robur Siena score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robur Siena | 2.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Gavorrano | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Robur Siena sit 4th in Serie D - Girone E (60 points from 34 matches) and Gavorrano sit 14th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Robur Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 60 |
| 14 | Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 49 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Gavorrano?
- The Footlab model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Gavorrano.
- Where and when is Robur Siena vs Gavorrano played?
- Robur Siena vs Gavorrano is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026TernanavsTerranuova Traiana
- Dec 20, 2026LucchesevsScandicci
- Dec 20, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsSasso Marconi Zola
- Dec 20, 2026SeravezzavsTau Altopascio
- Dec 20, 2026GrassinavsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Dec 20, 2026Montevarchi CalciovsMezzolara
- Dec 20, 2026ProgressovsPrato
- Dec 20, 2026RondinellavsFlaminia