Robur Siena vs Gavorrano: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, Siena
The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Gavorrano. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Gavorrano?
On Elo ratings, Robur Siena has 1,792 points and Gavorrano 1,707.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Robur Siena vs Gavorrano
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Robur Siena
4-3-3- 7F. Disanto
- 9A. Paloschi
- 57Fiaschi
- 55G. Leone
- 10N. Belloni
- 14M. Meli
- 3A. Favalli
- 13L. Crescenzi
- 6D. Riccardi
- 2A. Raimo
- 1I. Lanni
Gavorrano
4-3-3- 9Cristian Carlo Brega
- 19R. Barbuti
- 11M. Malotti
- 8Loris Damonte
- 25Leandro Vitiello
- 21F. Conti
- 3P. Ropolo
- 23D. Mori
- 6D. Marchetti
- 16G. Favale
- 1W. Falcone
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Robur Siena have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gavorrano have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Prato(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Robur Siena wins, 1 draw, 0 Gavorrano wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Robur Siena 1-0 Gavorrano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Gavorrano 0-1 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 28, 2018 | Robur Siena 1-1 Gavorrano | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2017 | Gavorrano 0-2 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Robur Siena vs Gavorrano on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Robur Siena score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gavorrano score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robur Siena | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Gavorrano | 1.4 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Robur Siena sit 5th in Serie D - Girone E (13 points from 7 matches) and Gavorrano sit 2nd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gavorrano | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Robur Siena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
A question about Robur Siena vs Gavorrano?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Robur Siena vs Gavorrano?
- The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Gavorrano.
- Where and when is Robur Siena vs Gavorrano played?
- Robur Siena vs Gavorrano is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Artemio Franchi - Montepaschi Arena, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 20, 2026TernanavsTerranuova Traiana
- Dec 20, 2026LucchesevsScandicci
- Dec 20, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsSasso Marconi Zola
- Dec 20, 2026SeravezzavsTau Altopascio
- Dec 20, 2026GrassinavsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Dec 20, 2026Montevarchi CalciovsMezzolara
- Dec 20, 2026ProgressovsPrato
- Dec 20, 2026RondinellavsFlaminia