Ludogorets III vs Olympic Varna: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Olympic Varna. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets III vs Olympic Varna?
Ludogorets III is a heavy favourite: 1,756 Elo points against 1,406 — a 351-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets III have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Olympic Varna have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cherno more II(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 20, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(away) | 4-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Ludogorets III(away) | 0-8 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ludogorets III win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Olympic Varna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Ludogorets III 8-0 Olympic Varna | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Olympic Varna 2-7 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets III vs Olympic Varna on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets III score 3.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Olympic Varna score 1.7 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 83% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets III | 3.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Olympic Varna | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets III sit 5th in Third League - Northeast (3 points from 1 matches) and Olympic Varna sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olympic Varna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Ludogorets III | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets III vs Olympic Varna?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 91%, against 7% for a draw and 3% for Olympic Varna.
- Where and when is Ludogorets III vs Olympic Varna played?
- Ludogorets III vs Olympic Varna is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 83% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.