Dorostol vs Olympic Varna: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Louis Eyer, Silistra
The Footlab model makes Olympic Varna the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Dorostol. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorostol vs Olympic Varna?
Olympic Varna starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,405 vs 1,285).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorostol have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Olympic Varna have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(home) | 0-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(away) | 0-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(home) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Olympic Varna(away) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Ludogorets III(home) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(away) | 4-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Dorostol(home) | 4-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Ludogorets III(away) | 0-8 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 9, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 1-2 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Dorostol win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Olympic Varna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Olympic Varna 4-2 Dorostol | Third League - Northeast |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Dorostol 2-3 Olympic Varna | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Olympic Varna vs Dorostol on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorostol score 0.7 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Olympic Varna score 1.7 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorostol | 0.7 | 3.0 | 1 | 5/15 | 12/15 |
| Olympic Varna | 1.7 | 2.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorostol sit 16th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Olympic Varna sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Olympic Varna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Dorostol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorostol vs Olympic Varna?
- The Footlab model makes Olympic Varna the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Dorostol.
- Where and when is Dorostol vs Olympic Varna played?
- Dorostol vs Olympic Varna is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Louis Eyer, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.