Fratria II vs Riltzi: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Staro Oryahovo, Staro Oryahovo
The Footlab model makes Fratria II the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Riltzi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fratria II vs Riltzi?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Fratria II (1,279) and Riltzi (1,293).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fratria II have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Riltzi have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-6 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Volov Shumen(home) | 0-7 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Aksakovo(away) | 1-3 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(home) | 3-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Svetkavitsa 14(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Volov Shumen(away) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Aksakovo(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Fratria II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Riltzi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Fratria II 8-1 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Riltzi 2-2 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Fratria II 4-0 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Riltzi 1-1 Fratria II | Third League - Northeast |
How many goals should we expect?
Fratria II score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Riltzi score 1.0 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria II | 1.5 | 2.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Riltzi | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fratria II sit 15th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Riltzi sit 13th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Riltzi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fratria II vs Riltzi?
- The Footlab model makes Fratria II the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Riltzi.
- Where and when is Fratria II vs Riltzi played?
- Fratria II vs Riltzi is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Staro Oryahovo, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.