Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa 14: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 5Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Svetkavitsa 14. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa 14?
Ludogorets III is a heavy favourite: 1,756 Elo points against 1,389, a 367-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets III have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Svetkavitsa 14 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cherno more II(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 20, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dorostol(away) | 4-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Spartak Varna II(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Cherno more II(home) | 0-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-2 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Fratria II(home) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Ludogorets III win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Svetkavitsa 14 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Ludogorets III 2-0 Svetkavitsa 14 | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Svetkavitsa 14 0-1 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa 14 on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets III score 3.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Svetkavitsa 14 score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets III | 3.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Svetkavitsa 14 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets III sit 5th in Third League - Northeast (3 points from 1 matches) and Svetkavitsa 14 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Ludogorets III | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa 14?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Svetkavitsa 14.
- Where and when is Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa 14 played?
- Ludogorets III vs Svetkavitsa 14 is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.