Riltzi vs Ludogorets III: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion kv. Riltsi, Dobrich
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Riltzi. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Riltzi vs Ludogorets III?
Ludogorets III is a heavy favourite: 1,756 Elo points against 1,293 — a 463-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Riltzi have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ludogorets III have 13, 0 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Devnya 2005(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Ustrem Donchevo(home) | 2-4 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Volov Shumen(away) | 0-9 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Aksakovo(home) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Botev Novi Pazar(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cherno more II(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 20, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Riltzi win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Ludogorets III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ludogorets III 3-0 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Riltzi 0-1 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Ludogorets III 3-0 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Riltzi 1-1 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
| May 1, 2024 | Ludogorets III 3-1 Riltzi | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Riltzi 1-1 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets III vs Riltzi on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Riltzi score 1.0 and concede 3.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets III score 3.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riltzi | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ludogorets III | 3.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Riltzi sit 13th in Third League - Northeast (0 points from 1 matches) and Ludogorets III sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ludogorets III | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Riltzi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Riltzi vs Ludogorets III?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 88%, against 9% for a draw and 4% for Riltzi.
- Where and when is Riltzi vs Ludogorets III played?
- Riltzi vs Ludogorets III is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion kv. Riltsi, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.