Ludogorets III vs Volov Shumen: prediction and stats
Third League - NortheastNortheast - 7Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, Razgrad
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Volov Shumen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ludogorets III vs Volov Shumen?
Ludogorets III starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,756 vs 1,595).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ludogorets III have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Volov Shumen have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cherno more II(home) | 2-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 0-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 24, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 3-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 20, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 16, 2026 | Svetkavitsa Targovishte(away) | 3-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Septemvri Tervel(away) | 1-1 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 30, 2026 | Fratria II(away) | 7-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 23, 2026 | Riltzi(home) | 9-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 17, 2026 | Benkovski Isperih(away) | 2-0 | Third League - Northeast |
| May 13, 2026 | Chernolomets 1919(home) | 5-0 | Third League - Northeast |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Ludogorets III win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Volov Shumen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Volov Shumen 3-2 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Ludogorets III 3-1 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Volov Shumen 0-4 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
| Sep 25, 2022 | Ludogorets III 3-0 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
| May 7, 2022 | Ludogorets III 4-0 Volov Shumen | Third League - Northeast |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Volov Shumen 1-1 Ludogorets III | Third League - Northeast |
Last archived meeting: Volov Shumen vs Ludogorets III on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ludogorets III score 3.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Volov Shumen score 3.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets III | 3.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Volov Shumen | 3.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ludogorets III sit 5th in Third League - Northeast (3 points from 1 matches) and Volov Shumen sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ludogorets III | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Volov Shumen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ludogorets III vs Volov Shumen?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets III the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Volov Shumen.
- Where and when is Ludogorets III vs Volov Shumen played?
- Ludogorets III vs Volov Shumen is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sporten tsentar Ludogorets, in the Third League - Northeast.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.