Where and when is Lugano vs Berazategui played?

Lugano vs Berazategui is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Moraños, in the Primera C.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Lugano vs Berazategui: prediction and stats

Primera CRegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José María Moraños, La Matanza, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Lugano

Berazategui

The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Lugano, 36% for a draw, 31% for Berazategui. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lugano vs Berazategui?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Lugano (1,560) and Berazategui (1,633).

Lugano win33 %

Draw36 %

Berazategui win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugano have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Berazategui have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lugano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Leandro N. Alem(away)	1-0	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	Lujan(home)	1-2	Primera C
Aug 9, 2026	Victoriano Arenas(home)	0-0	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	Defensores de Cambaceres(away)	2-1	Primera C
Jul 25, 2026	Centro Español(home)	1-0	Primera C

Berazategui
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Victoriano Arenas(away)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 16, 2026	Fénix(home)	2-2	Primera C
Aug 8, 2026	Centro Español(home)	0-1	Primera C
Aug 4, 2026	Central Cordoba(home)	1-0	Primera C
Jul 31, 2026	JJ Urquiza(away)	0-0	Primera C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Lugano win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Berazategui win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Berazategui 2-0 Lugano	Primera C
Jul 20, 2025	Berazategui 3-0 Lugano	Primera C
Apr 5, 2025	Lugano 2-0 Berazategui	Primera C
Sep 11, 2024	Lugano 1-3 Berazategui	Primera C
Apr 10, 2024	Berazategui 2-2 Lugano	Primera C

Last archived meeting: Berazategui vs Lugano on May 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lugano score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Berazategui score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Lugano	1.2	0.8	9	6/15	7/15
Berazategui	0.7	0.8	6	4/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lugano sit 2nd in Primera C (39 points from 25 matches) and Berazategui sit 4th (37 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Lugano	25	10	9	6	29	22	39
4	Berazategui	25	9	10	6	26	19	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lugano vs Berazategui?: The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Lugano, 36% for a draw, 31% for Berazategui.
Where and when is Lugano vs Berazategui played?: Lugano vs Berazategui is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José María Moraños, in the Primera C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.