Lugazi vs SC Villa: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lugazi FC Stadium, Najjembe
The Footlab AI model makes SC Villa the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Lugazi. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,824 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lugazi vs SC Villa?
SC Villa starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (1,504 vs 1,261).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lugazi vs SC Villa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lugazi
Not enough data to predict the Lugazi lineup.
SC Villa
Not enough data to predict the SC Villa lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 04:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lugazi have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; SC Villa have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | KCCA(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Express(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Maroons(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Police(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Blacks Power(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lijabatho(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mbarara City(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lifofane(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Police(away) | 6-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Lugazi wins, 2 draws, 2 SC Villa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Lugazi 0-1 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SC Villa 0-0 Lugazi | Premier League |
| May 24, 2025 | Lugazi 0-1 SC Villa | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2024 | SC Villa 1-1 Lugazi | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lugazi score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Villa score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lugazi | 0.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| SC Villa | 1.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lugazi sit 12th in Premier League (8 points from 7 matches) and SC Villa sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SC Villa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Lugazi vs SC Villa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lugazi vs SC Villa?
- The Footlab AI model makes SC Villa the favourite at 58%, against 27% for a draw and 15% for Lugazi.
- Where and when is Lugazi vs SC Villa played?
- Lugazi vs SC Villa is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lugazi FC Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.