UPDF vs Kitara: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bombo Stadium, Bombo
The Footlab AI model makes Kitara the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for UPDF. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,678 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UPDF vs Kitara?
Kitara starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,505 vs 1,289).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UPDF vs Kitara
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UPDF
Not enough data to predict the UPDF lineup.
Kitara
Not enough data to predict the Kitara lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 04:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UPDF have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kitara have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | BUL(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Express(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Al Ahly(away) | 0-4 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 1-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kataka(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Express(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 UPDF wins, 2 draws, 4 Kitara wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | UPDF 1-1 Kitara | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2026 | Kitara 2-1 UPDF | Premier League |
| Feb 13, 2025 | UPDF 0-0 Kitara | Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Kitara 4-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UPDF 0-3 Kitara | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Kitara 1-0 UPDF | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
UPDF score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kitara score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPDF | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Kitara | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UPDF sit 10th in Premier League (8 points from 6 matches) and Kitara sit 9th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Kitara | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | UPDF | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
A question about UPDF vs Kitara?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UPDF vs Kitara?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kitara the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for UPDF.
- Where and when is UPDF vs Kitara played?
- UPDF vs Kitara is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bombo Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.