Ntugasaze vs Express: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Ntugasaze, 34% for a draw, 34% for Express. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,678 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ntugasaze vs Express?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Ntugasaze (1,248) and Express (1,344).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ntugasaze vs Express
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ntugasaze
Not enough data to predict the Ntugasaze lineup.
Express
Not enough data to predict the Express lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Ntugasaze have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Express have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | KCCA(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Mbarara City(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Vipers(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | BUL(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Maroons(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Lugazi(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 15, 2026 | UPDF(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | NEC(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Kitara(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | SC Villa(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ntugasaze score 0.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 6; Express score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ntugasaze | 0.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 2/6 | 3/6 |
| Express | 0.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ntugasaze sit 16th in Premier League (3 points from 6 matches) and Express sit 13th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Express | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 16 | Ntugasaze | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Ntugasaze vs Express?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ntugasaze vs Express?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 32% for Ntugasaze, 34% for a draw, 34% for Express.
- Where and when is Ntugasaze vs Express played?
- Ntugasaze vs Express is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.