Mbarara City vs KCCA: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kakyeka Stadium, Mbarara
The Footlab AI model makes KCCA the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for Mbarara City. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,680 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mbarara City vs KCCA?
KCCA starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,510 vs 1,263).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mbarara City vs KCCA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mbarara City
Not enough data to predict the Mbarara City lineup.
KCCA
Not enough data to predict the KCCA lineup.
Computed on October 27, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mbarara City have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; KCCA have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | SC Villa(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Blacks Power(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Ntugasaze(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Entebbe UPPC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NEC(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Ntugasaze(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | URA(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kataka(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Kigezi HomeBoyz(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Express(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mbarara City win, 0 draws, 5 KCCA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | KCCA 4-1 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Mbarara City 1-2 KCCA | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | KCCA 1-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Mbarara City 0-2 KCCA | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2024 | KCCA 4-0 Mbarara City | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Mbarara City 2-1 KCCA | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mbarara City score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; KCCA score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mbarara City | 0.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| KCCA | 1.1 | 0.6 | 8 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mbarara City sit 14th in Premier League (5 points from 6 matches) and KCCA sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | KCCA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Mbarara City | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
A question about Mbarara City vs KCCA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mbarara City vs KCCA?
- The Footlab AI model makes KCCA the favourite at 48%, against 32% for a draw and 20% for Mbarara City.
- Where and when is Mbarara City vs KCCA played?
- Mbarara City vs KCCA is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kakyeka Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.