Lumezzane vs Cittadella: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Nuovo Stadio Comunale, Lumezzane
The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Cittadella. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lumezzane vs Cittadella?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Lumezzane (1,752) and Cittadella (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lumezzane have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Cittadella have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Renate(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Alcione(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Pergolettese(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Luparense(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Padova(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Lumezzane win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Cittadella win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | Cittadella 1-0 Lumezzane | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Lumezzane 1-2 Cittadella | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Cittadella 0-1 Lumezzane | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Cittadella vs Lumezzane on May 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lumezzane | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Cittadella | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lumezzane sit 19th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Cittadella sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cittadella | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lumezzane vs Cittadella?
- The Footlab model makes Lumezzane the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Cittadella.
- Where and when is Lumezzane vs Cittadella played?
- Lumezzane vs Cittadella is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Nuovo Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 17, 2027NovaravsRenate
- Jan 17, 2027Arzignano ValchiampovsOspitaletto
- Jan 17, 2027LeccovsTrento
- Jan 17, 2027PergolettesevsJuventus U23
- Jan 17, 2027Folgore CaratesevsPRO Vercelli
- Jan 17, 2027Desenzano CalvinavsUnion Brescia
- Jan 17, 2027Dolomiti BellunesivsGiana Erminio
- Jan 17, 2027Athletic CarpivsAlbinoleffe