Match

Novara vs Renate: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara

NovaraRenate

The Footlab AI model makes Renate the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Renate wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,381 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Novara vs Renate?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Novara (1,677) and Renate (1,695).

31%29%40%
Novara winDrawRenate win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Novara vs Renate

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 7E. Lanini
  2. 14M. Romano
  3. 9D. Zuppel
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 11N. Ledonne
  1. 58M. Miceli
  2. 3S. Lartey
  3. 5F. Lorenzini
  4. 28A. Cannavaro
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Renate

4-3-3
  1. 92N. Anelli
  2. 47L. Kerrigan
  3. 7J. Italeng
  1. 11A. Delcarro
  2. 25F. Vassallo
  3. 14M. Calì
  1. 5S. Auriletto
  2. 13A. Moțoc
  3. 21C. Riviera
  4. 29T. Botrini
  1. 30M. Avella

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Renate have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Athletic Carpi(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Lumezzane(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Renate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Giana Erminio(home)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Ospitaletto(away)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Treviso(home)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 17, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(home)0-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Novara wins, 1 draw, 2 Renate wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 7, 2026Renate 1-2 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Mar 28, 2026Renate 3-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Nov 23, 2025Novara 0-1 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Feb 23, 2025Novara 1-0 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2024Renate 0-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Aug 10, 2024Renate 2-2 NovaraCoppa Italia Serie C

Last archived meeting: Renate vs Novara on Sep 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Renate score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Novara0.91.146/156/15
Renate1.11.639/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Novara sit 14th in Serie C - Girone A (9 points from 9 matches) and Renate sit 20th (4 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Novara92348129
20Renate90458144

A question about Novara vs Renate?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Novara vs Renate?
The Footlab AI model makes Renate the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Novara.
Where and when is Novara vs Renate played?
Novara vs Renate is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Novara and Renate

Ready to know everything about football?