Where and when is Novara vs Renate played?

Novara vs Renate is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Novara vs Renate: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 22Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara

Novara

Renate

The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Novara vs Renate?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Novara (1,758) and Renate (1,815).

Novara win32 %

Draw28 %

Renate win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Renate have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Novara
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Juventus U23(away)	0-1	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026	Alcione(away)	1-0	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 5, 2026	Virtus Entella(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Sampdoria(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026	Ospitaletto(away)	2-0	Serie C - Girone A

Renate
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Alcione(away)	1-3	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026	Lumezzane(away)	2-2	Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026	Città di Varese(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 13, 2026	Casarano(home)	0-3	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 10, 2026	Casarano(away)	2-0	Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Novara win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Renate win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Renate 3-1 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Nov 23, 2025	Novara 0-1 Renate	Serie C - Girone A
Feb 23, 2025	Novara 1-0 Renate	Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2024	Renate 0-1 Novara	Serie C - Girone A
Aug 10, 2024	Renate 2-2 Novara	Coppa Italia Serie C
Mar 6, 2024	Novara 1-1 Renate	Serie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Renate vs Novara on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Novara	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15
Renate	1.7	1.3	6	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Novara sit 18th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Renate sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Renate	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
18	Novara	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Novara vs Renate?: The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Novara.
Where and when is Novara vs Renate played?: Novara vs Renate is played on January 17, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.