Cittadella vs Athletic Carpi: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, Cittadella
The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Athletic Carpi. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cittadella vs Athletic Carpi?
Cittadella starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,624).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cittadella vs Athletic Carpi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cittadella
4-3-3- 16J. Ekuban
- 7E. Anastasia
- 10M. Antonucci
- 4F. Toffanin
- 23L. Paolucci
- 19F. D'Alessio
- 43A. Ndrecka
- 87B. Martella
- 24M. Gobbato
- 14C. Crialese
- 69A. Zanellati
Athletic Carpi
4-3-3- 90V. Vitale
- 18T. Carcani
- 83A. Sall
- 11F. Puletto
- 10F. Casarini
- 6A. Astrologo
- 19M. Rossini
- 24Fabio Desole
- 4D. Zagnoni
- 25G. Vaglica
- 1Alessandro Scacchetti
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cittadella have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Athletic Carpi have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Novara(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Albinoleffe(home) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Juventus U23(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pergolettese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | PRO Vercelli(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arzignano Valchiampo(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Novara(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Cittadella win, 0 draws, 0 Athletic Carpi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Athletic Carpi 1-2 Cittadella | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Athletic Carpi vs Cittadella on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cittadella score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Carpi score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | 1.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Athletic Carpi | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cittadella sit 1st in Serie C - Girone A (24 points from 9 matches) and Athletic Carpi sit 17th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
| 17 | Athletic Carpi | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 6 |
A question about Cittadella vs Athletic Carpi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cittadella vs Athletic Carpi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cittadella the favourite at 58%, against 25% for a draw and 17% for Athletic Carpi.
- Where and when is Cittadella vs Athletic Carpi played?
- Cittadella vs Athletic Carpi is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.