Match

Renate vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 23Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda

RenateLumezzane

The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renate vs Lumezzane?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Renate (1,815) and Lumezzane (1,752).

Renate win42 %
Draw30 %
Lumezzane win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Lumezzane have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Alcione(away)1-3Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026Lumezzane(away)2-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Città di Varese(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 13, 2026Casarano(home)0-3Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Casarano(away)2-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Lumezzane
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Ospitaletto(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026Renate(home)2-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 1, 2026Cremonese(away)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 6, 2026Cittadella(away)0-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 3, 2026Alcione(home)0-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Renate win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Lumezzane win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Lumezzane 2-2 RenateCoppa Italia Serie C
Mar 7, 2026Renate 0-0 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Nov 2, 2025Lumezzane 0-0 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Mar 16, 2025Lumezzane 0-2 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Nov 2, 2024Renate 1-2 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A
Feb 10, 2024Renate 0-1 LumezzaneSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Renate on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renate1.71.368/1511/15
Lumezzane1.10.957/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renate sit 14th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Lumezzane sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Renate1001130
19Lumezzane1001020

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renate vs Lumezzane?
The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for Lumezzane.
Where and when is Renate vs Lumezzane played?
Renate vs Lumezzane is played on January 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Renate and Lumezzane

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