Match

AVS vs Lusitânia Lourosa: prediction and stats

Segunda LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves

AVSLusitânia Lourosa

The Footlab AI model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AVS. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lusitânia Lourosa wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AVS vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate AVS (1,998) and Lusitânia Lourosa (2,002).

32%28%40%
AVS winDrawLusitânia Lourosa win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AVS vs Lusitânia Lourosa

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AVS

4-3-3
  1. 30Talles Wander
  2. 7Guilherme Neiva
  3. 9Rodrigo Pinho
  1. 70Roni
  2. 80Hiago Santos
  3. 78Andrey
  1. 97Matheus Pivô
  2. 88F. Almeida
  3. 3L. Rosić
  4. 12L. Rivas
  1. 1Dani Rebollo

Lusitânia Lourosa

4-3-3
  1. 12Arsénio
  2. 17João Santos
  3. 21Paulité
  1. 27Fabinho
  2. 20Diogo Paulo
  3. 7Mika Borges
  1. 24Ricardinho
  2. 22Bruno Faria
  3. 52F. Machado
  4. 4D. Collard
  1. 29Brian Araújo

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AVS have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lusitânia Lourosa have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AVS
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026União de Leiria(away)1-2Segunda Liga
Oct 25, 2026Tondela(home)2-1Segunda Liga
Oct 17, 2026Moreirense(home)1-0Taça de Portugal
Oct 9, 2026Penafiel(away)2-1Segunda Liga
Sep 20, 2026Sintrense(away)2-0Taça de Portugal
Lusitânia Lourosa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Farense(home)1-1Segunda Liga
Oct 25, 2026Felgueiras 1932(away)2-2Segunda Liga
Oct 18, 2026Os Limianos(home)2-1Taça de Portugal
Oct 11, 2026Chaves(home)1-1Segunda Liga
Sep 20, 2026Madalena(away)3-1Taça de Portugal

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 AVS wins, 0 draws, 1 Lusitânia Lourosa win.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 7, 2026Lusitânia Lourosa 2-1 AVSSegunda Liga

Last archived meeting: Lusitânia Lourosa vs AVS on Sep 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AVS score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AVS1.51.068/157/15
Lusitânia Lourosa1.71.3410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AVS sit 10th in Segunda Liga (12 points from 9 matches) and Lusitânia Lourosa sit 3rd (19 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Lusitânia Lourosa954015819
10AVS9333111012

A question about AVS vs Lusitânia Lourosa?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AVS vs Lusitânia Lourosa?
The Footlab AI model makes Lusitânia Lourosa the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for AVS.
Where and when is AVS vs Lusitânia Lourosa played?
AVS vs Lusitânia Lourosa is played on February 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, in the Segunda Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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