Luzino vs Kalisz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, Luzino
The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Kalisz. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luzino vs Kalisz?
Luzino starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,893 vs 1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luzino have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Kalisz have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chemik Bydgoszcz(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Września(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 6-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bałtyk Koszalin(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Luzino score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kalisz score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzino | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Kalisz | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luzino sit 4th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Kalisz sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Luzino | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Kalisz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luzino vs Kalisz?
- The Footlab model makes Luzino the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Kalisz.
- Where and when is Luzino vs Kalisz played?
- Luzino vs Kalisz is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Boisko za płytą główną GOSRiT Luzino, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Elana ToruńvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- May 22, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsFlota Świnoujście
- May 22, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsKotwica Kórnik
- May 22, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsLipno Stęszew
- May 22, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsBałtyk Koszalin
- May 22, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsStargard Szczeciński
- May 22, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsVictoria Września
- May 22, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsGedania Gdansk