Elana Toruń vs Chemik Bydgoszcz: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, Toruń
The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Elana Toruń. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elana Toruń vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Elana Toruń (1,695) and Chemik Bydgoszcz (1,724).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elana Toruń have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Chemik Bydgoszcz have 5, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Noteć Czarnków(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(home) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Luzino(away) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Polonia Środa(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kluczevia Stargard(home) | 3-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Elana Toruń win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Chemik Bydgoszcz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Elana Toruń 2-3 Chemik Bydgoszcz | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Elana Toruń vs Chemik Bydgoszcz on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Elana Toruń score 1.0 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chemik Bydgoszcz score 2.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elana Toruń | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/13 | 9/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elana Toruń sit 12th in III Liga - Group 2 (5 points from 5 matches) and Chemik Bydgoszcz sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Elana Toruń | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elana Toruń vs Chemik Bydgoszcz?
- The Footlab model makes Chemik Bydgoszcz the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Elana Toruń.
- Where and when is Elana Toruń vs Chemik Bydgoszcz played?
- Elana Toruń vs Chemik Bydgoszcz is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Grzegorza Duneckiego, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsFlota Świnoujście
- May 22, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsKotwica Kórnik
- May 22, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsLipno Stęszew
- May 22, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsBałtyk Koszalin
- May 22, 2027LuzinovsKalisz
- May 22, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsStargard Szczeciński
- May 22, 2027Wda ŚwiecievsVictoria Września
- May 22, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsGedania Gdansk