Match

Lech Poznań II vs Kotwica Kórnik: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 2Group II - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Amiki Wronki, Wronki

Lech Poznań IIKotwica Kórnik

The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Kotwica Kórnik. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lech Poznań II vs Kotwica Kórnik?

Lech Poznań II starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,779 vs 1,634).

Lech Poznań II win58 %
Draw21 %
Kotwica Kórnik win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lech Poznań II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Kotwica Kórnik have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lech Poznań II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Gedania Gdansk(away)3-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Lipno Stęszew(home)1-0III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Stargard Szczeciński(away)2-4III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Chemik Bydgoszcz(home)1-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Victoria Września(away)5-2III Liga - Group 2
Kotwica Kórnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Victoria Września(away)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 19, 2026Bałtyk Koszalin(home)0-1III Liga - Group 2
Aug 15, 2026Kalisz(home)2-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 8, 2026Flota Świnoujście(away)0-2III Liga - Group 2
Aug 1, 2026Luzino(home)2-6III Liga - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Lech Poznań II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Kotwica Kórnik win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 2, 2025Kotwica Kórnik 2-0 Lech Poznań IIIII Liga - Group 2
Aug 10, 2024Lech Poznań II 1-1 Kotwica KórnikIII Liga - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Kotwica Kórnik vs Lech Poznań II on Mar 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Lech Poznań II score 2.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kotwica Kórnik score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lech Poznań II2.11.9311/1512/15
Kotwica Kórnik1.12.119/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lech Poznań II sit 6th in III Liga - Group 2 (10 points from 5 matches) and Kotwica Kórnik sit 18th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Lech Poznań II531112910
18Kotwica Kórnik50144121

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lech Poznań II vs Kotwica Kórnik?
The Footlab model makes Lech Poznań II the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Kotwica Kórnik.
Where and when is Lech Poznań II vs Kotwica Kórnik played?
Lech Poznań II vs Kotwica Kórnik is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Amiki Wronki, in the III Liga - Group 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lech Poznań II and Kotwica Kórnik

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