Wda Świecie vs Victoria Września: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 2Group II - 33Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Świecie nad Wisłą
The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Victoria Września. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wda Świecie vs Victoria Września?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Wda Świecie (1,759) and Victoria Września (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wda Świecie have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Victoria Września have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Unia Swarzędz(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Grom Nowy Staw(home) | 4-2 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gedania Gdansk(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipno Stęszew(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stargard Szczeciński(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kotwica Kórnik(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Flota Świnoujście(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luzino(home) | 1-3 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Polonia Środa(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lech Poznań II(home) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Wda Świecie win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Victoria Września win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Victoria Września 3-1 Wda Świecie | III Liga - Group 2 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Wda Świecie 2-1 Victoria Września | III Liga - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Września vs Wda Świecie on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Wda Świecie score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Września score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wda Świecie | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Victoria Września | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wda Świecie sit 3rd in III Liga - Group 2 (11 points from 5 matches) and Victoria Września sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wda Świecie | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 16 | Victoria Września | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wda Świecie vs Victoria Września?
- The Footlab model makes Wda Świecie the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Victoria Września.
- Where and when is Wda Świecie vs Victoria Września played?
- Wda Świecie vs Victoria Września is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- May 22, 2027Elana ToruńvsChemik Bydgoszcz
- May 22, 2027Polonia ŚrodavsFlota Świnoujście
- May 22, 2027Lech Poznań IIvsKotwica Kórnik
- May 22, 2027Unia SwarzędzvsLipno Stęszew
- May 22, 2027Kluczevia StargardvsBałtyk Koszalin
- May 22, 2027LuzinovsKalisz
- May 22, 2027Noteć CzarnkówvsStargard Szczeciński
- May 22, 2027Grom Nowy StawvsGedania Gdansk