AFC Telford United vs Macclesfield: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 24Kick-off on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)New Bucks Head Ground, Telford, Shropshire
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for AFC Telford United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AFC Telford United vs Macclesfield?
Macclesfield starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,825).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AFC Telford United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Macclesfield have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AFC Telford United win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Macclesfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | AFC Telford United 3-0 Macclesfield | National League - North |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Macclesfield 1-1 AFC Telford United | National League - North |
| Mar 10, 2015 | Macclesfield 1-0 AFC Telford United | National League |
| Aug 12, 2014 | AFC Telford United 2-3 Macclesfield | National League |
| Mar 19, 2013 | Macclesfield 2-1 AFC Telford United | National League |
| Mar 9, 2013 | AFC Telford United 0-2 Macclesfield | National League |
Last archived meeting: AFC Telford United vs Macclesfield on Mar 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Telford United | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Macclesfield | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AFC Telford United sit 22nd in National League - North (2 points from 4 matches) and Macclesfield sit 4th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Macclesfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 22 | AFC Telford United | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AFC Telford United vs Macclesfield?
- The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for AFC Telford United.
- Where and when is AFC Telford United vs Macclesfield played?
- AFC Telford United vs Macclesfield is played on December 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at New Bucks Head Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.