Brackley Town vs Hereford: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)St. James Park, Brackley, Northamptonshire
The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Brackley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brackley Town vs Hereford?
Hereford starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,686).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brackley Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Hereford have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marine(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bromsgrove Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Brackley Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Hereford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | Hereford 3-2 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Brackley Town 1-2 Hereford | National League - North |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Brackley Town 2-0 Hereford | National League - North |
| Nov 7, 2023 | Hereford 1-0 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Apr 10, 2023 | Hereford 2-2 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Brackley Town 2-1 Hereford | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Hereford vs Brackley Town on Feb 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Brackley Town score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Hereford score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Hereford | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brackley Town sit 15th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Hereford sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hereford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Brackley Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brackley Town vs Hereford?
- The Footlab model makes Hereford the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Brackley Town.
- Where and when is Brackley Town vs Hereford played?
- Brackley Town vs Hereford is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at St. James Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 24, 2026MacclesfieldvsMorecambe
- Nov 24, 2026ChorleyvsHebburn Town
- Nov 24, 2026AFC Telford UnitedvsBuxton
- Nov 24, 2026MarinevsSpennymoor Town
- Nov 24, 2026Hednesford TownvsOxford City
- Nov 24, 2026Merthyr TownvsBedford Town
- Nov 24, 2026Scarborough AthleticvsSpalding United
- Nov 24, 2026South ShieldsvsWorksop Town