Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey
The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dorking Wanderers wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?
On Elo ratings, Dorking Wanderers has 1,916 points and Maidenhead 1,832.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dorking Wanderers
Not enough data to predict the Dorking Wanderers lineup.
Maidenhead
4-3-3- AA. Pendlebury
- 27C. Hall
- 19D. Nkrumah
- 11J. Mitchell-Lawson
- 21J. Coley
- 36J. Johnson
- 22M. Welch-Hayes
- 19Owen Cochrane
- 28J. McMenemy
- AAlfie Calver
- 1J. van Stappershoef
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Maidenhead have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-3 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chatham Town(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Braintree(home) | 4-3 | National League - South |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Southall(home) | 5-4 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(away) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 2-2 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dorking Wanderers wins, 1 draw, 2 Maidenhead wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead 0-0 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers 2-0 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Maidenhead 2-0 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Dorking Wanderers 1-0 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Maidenhead 4-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Dorking Wanderers 3-0 Maidenhead | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dorking Wanderers score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Maidenhead | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorking Wanderers sit 10th in National League - South (17 points from 11 matches) and Maidenhead sit 18th (13 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dorking Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 17 |
| 18 | Maidenhead | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead played?
- Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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