Match

Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey

Dorking WanderersMaidenhead

The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,848) and Maidenhead (1,816).

Dorking Wanderers win46 %
Draw26 %
Maidenhead win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnborough(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Truro City(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Brackley Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maidenhead win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead 0-0 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Apr 29, 2026Dorking Wanderers 2-0 MaidenheadNational League - South
Mar 21, 2026Maidenhead 2-0 Dorking WanderersNational League - South
Oct 28, 2025Dorking Wanderers 1-0 MaidenheadNational League - South
Mar 9, 2024Maidenhead 4-2 Dorking WanderersNational League
Dec 9, 2023Dorking Wanderers 3-0 MaidenheadFA Trophy

Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Dorking Wanderers on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15
Maidenhead0.91.247/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dorking Wanderers sit 16th in National League - South (4 points from 4 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Maidenhead4121235
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead?
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Maidenhead.
Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead played?
Dorking Wanderers vs Maidenhead is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dorking Wanderers and Maidenhead

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