Malaga City vs Atletico de Marbella: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 · Matchday 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, Torremolinos
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico de Marbella the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Malaga City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico de Marbella wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Malaga City vs Atletico de Marbella?
Atletico de Marbella starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,676 vs 1,508).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Malaga City vs Atletico de Marbella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Malaga City
4-3-3- JJuanfran
- RR. Gómez
- JJosu Ozkoidi
- ÓÓscar Puente
- FF. Irisarri
- AAndrés del RÃo
- 2Chechu
- RRaúl Fernández Ortega
- JJuanjo
- AAntonio Contreras Lozano
- FFernando Padilla
Atletico de Marbella
Not enough data to predict the Atletico de Marbella lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malaga City have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Atletico de Marbella have 1, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Torre del Mar(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Mancha Real(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Almería II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Malaga City score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico de Marbella score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga City | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Atletico de Marbella | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 4/10 | 3/10 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malaga City sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (0 points from 10 matches) and Atletico de Marbella sit 15th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 7 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 24 | 0 |
A question about Malaga City vs Atletico de Marbella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Malaga City vs Atletico de Marbella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico de Marbella the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Malaga City.
- Where and when is Malaga City vs Atletico de Marbella played?
- Malaga City vs Atletico de Marbella is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Pozuelo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.