Match

Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 · Matchday 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal, Armilla

Arenas ArmillaMálaga II

The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arenas Armilla wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Arenas Armilla (1,801) and Málaga II (1,792).

49%28%23%
Arenas Armilla winDrawMálaga II win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Arenas Armilla

Not enough data to predict the Arenas Armilla lineup.

Málaga II

4-3-3
  1. JJuani
  2. JJuanma Hernández
  3. RRubén Sánchez
  1. 32Rafael Garrido
  2. 44Jesús Martin
  3. AAlejandro Valcarce
  1. 38Pablo Arriaza
  2. 32Miguel Ángel
  3. IIván Benito Mancera
  4. ÁÁngel Mateo
  1. 30Andrés Céspedes

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Armilla have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Málaga II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Armilla
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Cantoria(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026UD San Pedro(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Alhaurino(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Malaga City(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Málaga II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Marbelli(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 31, 2026Melilla(home)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 25, 2026Motril(away)4-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 18, 2026Churriana Vega(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 11, 2026Almería II(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arenas Armilla wins, 0 draws, 4 Málaga II wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 26, 2025Arenas Armilla 3-2 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 15, 2024Málaga II 3-2 Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 1, 2024Arenas Armilla 0-1 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 17, 2023Málaga II 1-0 Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 5, 2023Málaga II 2-0 Arenas ArmillaTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 9, 2022Arenas Armilla 2-1 Málaga IITercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II on Jan 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Armilla score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Armilla1.61.078/155/15
Málaga II1.91.5310/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Armilla sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (22 points from 10 matches) and Málaga II sit 6th (15 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Arenas Armilla1064018822
6Málaga II9432191115

A question about Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II?
The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Málaga II.
Where and when is Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II played?
Arenas Armilla vs Málaga II is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arenas Armilla and Málaga II