Mancha Real vs Cantoria: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real
The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Cantoria. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,640 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mancha Real vs Cantoria?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Mancha Real (1,667) and Cantoria (1,720).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mancha Real vs Cantoria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Cantoria
Not enough data to predict the Cantoria lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Cantoria have 0, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arenas Armilla(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Motril(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Churriana Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Granada II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
How many goals should we expect?
Mancha Real score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Cantoria score 0.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mancha Real | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Cantoria | 0.6 | 1.7 | 0 | 3/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mancha Real sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (2 points from 6 matches) and Cantoria sit 16th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Cantoria | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha Real | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
A question about Mancha Real vs Cantoria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Cantoria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mancha Real the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Cantoria.
- Where and when is Mancha Real vs Cantoria played?
- Mancha Real vs Cantoria is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027MelillavsAlmería II
- Mar 14, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsAtlético Porcuna
- Mar 14, 2027Huétor VegavsUD San Pedro
- Mar 14, 2027MotrilvsChurriana Vega
- Mar 14, 2027Torre del MarvsAlhaurino
- Mar 14, 2027Arenas ArmillavsMálaga II
- Mar 14, 2027MarbellivsGranada II
- Mar 14, 2027Malaga CityvsAtletico de Marbella