Marbelli vs Granada II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal, San Pedro de Alcántara
The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Granada II. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,788 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marbelli vs Granada II?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Marbelli (1,801) and Granada II (1,754).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marbelli vs Granada II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marbelli
Not enough data to predict the Marbelli lineup.
Granada II
Not enough data to predict the Granada II lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marbelli have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Granada II have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | UD San Pedro(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atletico de Marbella(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Málaga II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cantoria(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Porcuna(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Marbelli wins, 1 draw, 1 Granada II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Marbelli 0-1 Granada II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Granada II 2-2 Marbelli | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Marbelli vs Granada II on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marbelli score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Granada II score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marbelli | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Granada II | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marbelli sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (13 points from 6 matches) and Granada II sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 8 | Granada II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Marbelli vs Granada II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marbelli vs Granada II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marbelli the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Granada II.
- Where and when is Marbelli vs Granada II played?
- Marbelli vs Granada II is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 14, 2027MelillavsAlmería II
- Mar 14, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsAtlético Porcuna
- Mar 14, 2027Huétor VegavsUD San Pedro
- Mar 14, 2027Mancha RealvsCantoria
- Mar 14, 2027MotrilvsChurriana Vega
- Mar 14, 2027Torre del MarvsAlhaurino
- Mar 14, 2027Arenas ArmillavsMálaga II
- Mar 14, 2027Malaga CityvsAtletico de Marbella