Match

Torre del Mar vs Alhaurino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 28Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, Torre del Mar

Torre del MarAlhaurino

The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Alhaurino. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torre del Mar vs Alhaurino?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Torre del Mar (1,803) and Alhaurino (1,706).

Torre del Mar win50 %
Draw29 %
Alhaurino win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torre del Mar have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Alhaurino have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torre del Mar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Arenas Armilla(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026Torreperogil(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Atlético Porcuna(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Motril(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Alhaurino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Mancha Real(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026Arenas Armilla(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026Churriana Vega(home)4-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026Torreperogil(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 12, 2026Atlético Porcuna(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Torre del Mar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Alhaurino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2026Torre del Mar 1-0 AlhaurinoTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Nov 23, 2025Alhaurino 1-1 Torre del MarTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Feb 26, 2022Torre del Mar 2-1 AlhaurinoTercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 31, 2021Alhaurino 1-3 Torre del MarTercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Torre del Mar vs Alhaurino on Apr 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alhaurino score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torre del Mar0.70.866/154/15
Alhaurino1.21.057/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torre del Mar sit 3rd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (55 points from 34 matches) and Alhaurino sit 12th (43 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Torre del Mar3414137372655
12Alhaurino34111013414143

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torre del Mar vs Alhaurino?
The Footlab model makes Torre del Mar the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Alhaurino.
Where and when is Torre del Mar vs Alhaurino played?
Torre del Mar vs Alhaurino is played on March 14, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Manuel Azuaga, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Torre del Mar and Alhaurino

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