Where and when is Malvern Town vs Yate Town played?

Malvern Town vs Yate Town is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Malvern Town vs Yate Town: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)HD Anywhere Stadium, Malvern, Worcestershire

Malvern Town

Yate Town

The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Yate Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Malvern Town vs Yate Town?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Malvern Town (1,789) and Yate Town (1,774).

Malvern Town win48 %

Draw24 %

Yate Town win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malvern Town have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Yate Town have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Malvern Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Wimborne Town(home)	0-3	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Bracknell Town(away)	0-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Taunton Town(away)	2-5	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Hanwell Town(home)	2-2	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026	Rushall Olympic(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

Yate Town
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bracknell Town(home)	2-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026	Chertsey Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026	Chippenham Town(away)	1-1	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026	Gosport Borough(home)	1-0	Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026	Leamington(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Malvern Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Yate Town win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 25, 2025	Yate Town 0-3 Malvern Town	Non League Div One - Southern South
Oct 22, 2024	Malvern Town 1-1 Yate Town	Non League Div One - Southern South
Jan 6, 2024	Malvern Town 0-0 Yate Town	Non League Div One - Southern South
Aug 16, 2023	Yate Town 2-3 Malvern Town	Non League Div One - Southern South

Last archived meeting: Yate Town vs Malvern Town on Jan 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Malvern Town score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Yate Town score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Malvern Town	1.9	1.8	4	8/15	11/15
Yate Town	1.5	1.1	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Malvern Town sit 22nd in Non League Premier - Southern South (2 points from 4 matches) and Yate Town sit 4th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Yate Town	4	2	2	0	5	3	8
22	Malvern Town	4	0	2	2	4	10	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Malvern Town vs Yate Town?: The Footlab model makes Malvern Town the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Yate Town.
Where and when is Malvern Town vs Yate Town played?: Malvern Town vs Yate Town is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at HD Anywhere Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.