Mancha Real vs Arenas Armilla: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real
The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Mancha Real. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arenas Armilla wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,838 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mancha Real vs Arenas Armilla?
Arenas Armilla starts as the favourite with a 160-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,683).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mancha Real vs Arenas Armilla
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mancha Real
Not enough data to predict the Mancha Real lineup.
Arenas Armilla
Not enough data to predict the Arenas Armilla lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 08:08 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Arenas Armilla have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Alhaurino(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga City(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Torre del Mar(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Huétor Vega(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | UD San Pedro(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alhaurino(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Malaga City(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Torre del Mar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Huétor Vega(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mancha Real wins, 2 draws, 4 Arenas Armilla wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Arenas Armilla 1-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Mancha Real 0-2 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 0-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Arenas Armilla 2-1 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Mancha Real 1-2 Arenas Armilla | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Arenas Armilla 0-0 Mancha Real | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Last archived meeting: Arenas Armilla vs Mancha Real on Sep 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mancha Real score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arenas Armilla score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mancha Real | 0.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Arenas Armilla | 1.6 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mancha Real sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (6 points from 8 matches) and Arenas Armilla sit 2nd (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arenas Armilla | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 18 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 6 |
A question about Mancha Real vs Arenas Armilla?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Arenas Armilla?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arenas Armilla the favourite at 45%, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Mancha Real.
- Where and when is Mancha Real vs Arenas Armilla played?
- Mancha Real vs Arenas Armilla is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027Atlético PorcunavsMálaga II
- Jan 10, 2027Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsMarbelli
- Jan 10, 2027Huétor VegavsMelilla
- Jan 10, 2027AlhaurinovsAlmería II
- Jan 10, 2027Torre del MarvsMotril
- Jan 10, 2027UD San PedrovsGranada II
- Jan 10, 2027Malaga CityvsChurriana Vega
- Jan 10, 2027Atletico de MarbellavsCantoria