Mansfield Town vs Leicester: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)One Call Stadium, Mansfield, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Leicester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mansfield Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,572 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mansfield Town vs Leicester?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Mansfield Town (1,957) and Leicester (1,946).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mansfield Town vs Leicester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mansfield Town
3-1-4-2- 14M. Smith
- 13J. Russell
- 25L. Reed
- 16L. Thompson
- 22N. Moriah-Welsh
- 3S. McLaughlin
- 33G. Abbott
- 5R. Sweeney
- 23A. Oshilaja
- 4E. Hewitt
- 1L. Roberts
Leicester
3-4-2-1- 17E. Riis
- 33L. Thomas
- 37W. Alves
- 25L. Page
- 6J. Lundstram
- 36S. Braybrooke
- 27K. Doyle
- 16W. O'Hora
- 5C. Okoli
- 15H. Souttar
- 29A. McCarthy
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 10:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mansfield Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Leicester have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Luton(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 4-0 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Mansfield Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leicester score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Leicester | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mansfield Town sit 9th in League One (18 points from 11 matches) and Leicester sit 13th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mansfield Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 18 |
| 13 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 15 |
A question about Mansfield Town vs Leicester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mansfield Town vs Leicester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mansfield Town the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Leicester.
- Where and when is Mansfield Town vs Leicester played?
- Mansfield Town vs Leicester is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at One Call Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.