Match

Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)RAW Charging Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire

Oxford CityScarborough Athletic

The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Scarborough Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Oxford City (1,875) and Scarborough Athletic (1,867).

Oxford City win42 %
Draw27 %
Scarborough Athletic win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford City have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Scarborough Athletic have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oxford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Spennymoor Town(away)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Harborough Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Spalding United(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Bedford Town(home)1-0National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Slough Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Scarborough Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chorley(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Spennymoor Town(home)3-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Hednesford Town(away)4-3National League - North
Aug 8, 2026South Shields(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Harrogate Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Oxford City win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Scarborough Athletic win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Oxford City 0-2 Scarborough AthleticNational League - North
Sep 20, 2025Scarborough Athletic 1-0 Oxford CityNational League - North
Mar 25, 2025Scarborough Athletic 0-0 Oxford CityNational League - North
Nov 9, 2024Oxford City 1-1 Scarborough AthleticNational League - North
Oct 17, 2023Oxford City 2-3 Scarborough AthleticFA Cup
Oct 14, 2023Scarborough Athletic 2-2 Oxford CityFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oxford City score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oxford City1.91.0411/158/15
Scarborough Athletic1.31.439/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oxford City sit 2nd in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Scarborough Athletic sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Oxford City43107210
8Scarborough Athletic4202866

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic?
The Footlab model makes Oxford City the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Scarborough Athletic.
Where and when is Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic played?
Oxford City vs Scarborough Athletic is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at RAW Charging Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Oxford City and Scarborough Athletic

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