Match

Marine vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Marine Travel Arena, Crosby, Merseyside

MarineSpennymoor Town

The Footlab model makes Marine the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marine vs Spennymoor Town?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Marine (1,791) and Spennymoor Town (1,802).

Marine win47 %
Draw26 %
Spennymoor Town win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marine have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026King's Lynn Town(away)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Chorley(home)0-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Hereford(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Macclesfield(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Bootle(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Spennymoor Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oxford City(home)1-4National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Scarborough Athletic(away)0-3National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Merthyr Town(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Morecambe(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Gateshead(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marine win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Spennymoor Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Spennymoor Town 1-1 MarineNational League - North
Dec 6, 2025Marine 0-2 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Feb 25, 2025Spennymoor Town 0-1 MarineNational League - North
Nov 26, 2024Marine 2-2 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Sep 19, 2023Marine 2-1 Spennymoor TownFA Cup
Sep 16, 2023Spennymoor Town 2-2 MarineFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Marine on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marine1.51.247/157/15
Spennymoor Town1.21.4210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Marine sit 18th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
17Spennymoor Town4112494
18Marine4103453

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marine vs Spennymoor Town?
The Footlab model makes Marine the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town.
Where and when is Marine vs Spennymoor Town played?
Marine vs Spennymoor Town is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Marine Travel Arena, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Marine and Spennymoor Town

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