Marine vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Marine Travel Arena, Crosby, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Marine the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marine vs Spennymoor Town?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Marine (1,791) and Spennymoor Town (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marine have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Marine win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Spennymoor Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Spennymoor Town 1-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Marine 0-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Spennymoor Town 0-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Marine 2-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2023 | Marine 2-1 Spennymoor Town | FA Cup |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Spennymoor Town 2-2 Marine | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs Marine on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marine sit 18th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 18 | Marine | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marine vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab model makes Marine the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Marine vs Spennymoor Town played?
- Marine vs Spennymoor Town is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Marine Travel Arena, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 24, 2026MacclesfieldvsMorecambe
- Nov 24, 2026ChorleyvsHebburn Town
- Nov 24, 2026AFC Telford UnitedvsBuxton
- Nov 24, 2026Brackley TownvsHereford
- Nov 24, 2026Hednesford TownvsOxford City
- Nov 24, 2026Merthyr TownvsBedford Town
- Nov 24, 2026Scarborough AthleticvsSpalding United
- Nov 24, 2026South ShieldsvsWorksop Town