Buxton vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Spennymoor Town?
On Elo ratings, Buxton has 1,915 points and Spennymoor Town 1,852.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Buxton vs Spennymoor Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Buxton
Not enough data to predict the Buxton lineup.
Spennymoor Town
4-3-3- 16Ben Pollock
- 11J. Mondal
- 36Cameron Salkeld
- 29M. Dolan
- 7M. Heaney
- 28Corey McKeown
- 3D. Jones
- 2O. Dyson
- 4M. Hancox
- 6Ben Beals
- 13Ryan Johnson
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | South Shields(away) | 0-4 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ashton United(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chester(home) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chester(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southport(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buxton wins, 2 draws, 2 Spennymoor Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Buxton 1-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Spennymoor Town 2-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Buxton 1-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 1-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Spennymoor Town 2-3 Buxton | National League - North |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Buxton 0-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Spennymoor Town on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 10th in National League - North (16 points from 11 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 24th (7 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Buxton | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 16 |
| 24 | Spennymoor Town | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Buxton vs Spennymoor Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Buxton the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Spennymoor Town played?
- Buxton vs Spennymoor Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.