Buxton vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Silverlands, Buxton, Derbyshire
The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Buxton vs Spennymoor Town?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Buxton (1,888) and Spennymoor Town (1,802).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Buxton have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bedford Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hereford(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Buxton win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Spennymoor Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Buxton 1-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Spennymoor Town 2-2 Buxton | National League - North |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Buxton 1-0 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 1-1 Buxton | National League - North |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Spennymoor Town 2-3 Buxton | National League - North |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Buxton 0-2 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Buxton vs Spennymoor Town on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Buxton sit 14th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Buxton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Buxton vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab model makes Buxton the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Spennymoor Town.
- Where and when is Buxton vs Spennymoor Town played?
- Buxton vs Spennymoor Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Silverlands, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.