Match

Macclesfield vs Morecambe: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 18Kick-off on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Leasing.com Stadium, Macclesfield, Cheshire

MacclesfieldMorecambe

The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Morecambe. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Macclesfield vs Morecambe?

Macclesfield starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (1,932 vs 1,655).

Macclesfield win66 %
Draw19 %
Morecambe win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macclesfield have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Morecambe have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Macclesfield
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Brackley Town(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Spalding United(away)0-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Radcliffe(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Marine(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 1, 2026United of Manchester(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Morecambe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Radcliffe(away)1-2National League - North
Aug 18, 2026South Shields(home)0-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Harborough Town(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Spennymoor Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Barrow(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Macclesfield win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Morecambe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 9, 2022Macclesfield 2-2 MorecambeFriendlies Clubs
Feb 11, 2020Morecambe 2-0 MacclesfieldLeague Two
Aug 20, 2019Macclesfield 0-1 MorecambeLeague Two
Apr 6, 2019Macclesfield 1-1 MorecambeLeague Two
Sep 22, 2018Morecambe 2-1 MacclesfieldLeague Two
Feb 14, 2012Morecambe 1-0 MacclesfieldLeague Two

Last archived meeting: Macclesfield vs Morecambe on Jul 9, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Macclesfield1.41.239/158/15
Morecambe1.12.118/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Macclesfield sit 4th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Morecambe sit 24th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Macclesfield43105210
24Morecambe4013251

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Macclesfield vs Morecambe?
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 14% for Morecambe.
Where and when is Macclesfield vs Morecambe played?
Macclesfield vs Morecambe is played on November 24, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Leasing.com Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Macclesfield and Morecambe

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